Obedient-Population
0x6c3789734ebd5c9494932e4936b7cc20cfdcd40f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$228.85
Total PnL
$-146.99
Realised
$-23.89
Win rate
51%
65 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
130 shares @ 5.5¢·now 67.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.36
$80.26
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
184 shares @ 5.5¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.20
$2.19
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
158 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$7.17
$0.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?
111 shares @ 2.6¢·now 6.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.12
$4.26
- YES
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
110 shares @ 2.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.98
$4.41
- YES
EU dissolves before 2027?
170 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.03
$-1.41
- YES
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
153 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.89
$-0.38
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
108 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.65
$-4.06
- YES
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?
141 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.85
$0.49
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
121 shares @ 1.7¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.60
$2.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$0.30May 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$0.14May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$0.96May 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$0.11May 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$1.40May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.80May 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.10May 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.80 May 11-17?$0.00May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$3.00May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$2.40May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.20May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.84May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.86May 18, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.40May 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.51May 18, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$1.90May 18, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.84May 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.46May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?$5.00May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.50May 18, 05:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 65 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".