Austere-Geology
0x6ce0e9909aa400b170459068067f5442058d5f11
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$402.22
Total PnL
$519.01
Realised
$363.29
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
180 shares @ 11.3¢·now 51.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$92.49
$72.23
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
995 shares @ 2.5¢·now 6.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$67.66
$42.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
400 shares @ 2.9¢·now 15.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$60.40
$48.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
830 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$39.43
$11.83
- YES
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$23.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
263 shares @ 2.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$16.47
$11.12
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
200 shares @ 11.5¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
48 shares @ 24.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$14.27
$2.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
500 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$13.75
$4.95
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$12.50
$2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.01May 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.12May 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.14May 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.05May 18, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.03May 18, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.07May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.05May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.07May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.05May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.03May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.02May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.20May 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.29May 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.02May 18, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.17May 18, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.11May 18, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.14May 18, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.05May 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.05May 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.05May 18, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".