Guilty-Cranky
0x6d50d1402b75af546273297aa6dd2904bd211f5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-641.31
Realised
$36.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
930 shares @ 37.4¢·now 41.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$381.30
$33.60
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$192.50
$-2.50
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
364 shares @ 31.2¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.41
$33.94
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
620 shares @ 9.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$71.29
$14.18
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
400 shares @ 28.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$65.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$51.00
$-10.89
- YES
Will three people dissent the June Fed decision?
700 shares @ 3.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$42.00
$21.00
- YES
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
61 shares @ 16.8¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.13
$13.88
- YES
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.00
$1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$19.56May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$0.05May 18, 03:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$8.87May 17, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOPEC dissolves in 2026?$2.73May 17, 20:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOPEC dissolves in 2026?$0.90May 16, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the June Fed decision?$21.00May 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$0.27May 16, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$13.33May 16, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$6.67May 16, 03:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$14.09May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.09May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$5.49May 15, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.41May 15, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOPEC dissolves in 2026?$2.47May 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$5.92May 15, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.15May 15, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.18May 15, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".