0x7013cbdc199c618545273340bc9898c5e88d97a7
0x7013cbdc199c618545273340bc9898c5e88d97a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$15.33
Total PnL
$-9.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.1¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 63.7¢·now 64.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- NO
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will "Mirage" by Creepy Nuts (Call of the Night Season 2) win Best Anime Opening Sequence at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.03May 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 19, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$2.02May 19, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$6.67May 17, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$1.00May 9, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$1.02May 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 9, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?$1.04May 9, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.00May 9, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$3.70May 8, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?$2.38May 5, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.40Apr 29, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vitality win the ESL Grand Slam at IEM Rio?$0.00Apr 28, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mirage" by Creepy Nuts (Call of the Night Season 2) win Best Anime Opening Sequence at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$0.64Apr 28, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 16, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$0.00Apr 16, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$0.00Apr 16, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: February$0.00Apr 16, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $0.00Apr 16, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".