Specific-Pear-Whirlwind
0x709179e7392e59922ab2d73cb1141698b30096f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
142
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-236.40
Realised
$-7.02
Win rate
51%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- NO
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
132 shares @ 57.8¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$87.30
$10.90
- NO
Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?
85 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.16
$45.98
- NO
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?
74 shares @ 82.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$57.24
$-3.43
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 80.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$50.73
$7.01
- NO
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?
60 shares @ 80.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$49.50
$1.20
- YES
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?
86 shares @ 15.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$46.70
$33.29
- NO
Will Hoffenheim finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
45 shares @ 61.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$44.80
$17.45
- NO
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
58 shares @ 72.9¢·now 76.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$44.70
$2.32
- YES
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?
43 shares @ 73.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$43.40
$11.47
- NO
Japan recession in 2026?
56 shares @ 73.5¢·now 73.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$41.19
$-0.30
Recent activity
- MERGEWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$2.97May 13, 02:13 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$6.90May 13, 02:13 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$6.96May 13, 02:12 UTC
- MERGEWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$9.53May 13, 02:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?$12.89May 13, 02:12 UTC
- MERGEWill "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?$15.28May 13, 02:12 UTC
- MERGEWill South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$23.33May 13, 02:12 UTC
- MERGEWill "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?$26.07May 13, 02:12 UTC
- MERGEWill Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$30.00May 13, 02:12 UTC
- MERGEWill Ludovic Ajorque lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?$30.00May 13, 02:12 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?$30.00May 13, 02:12 UTC
- MERGENew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$89.99May 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?$10.85May 13, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$2.60May 13, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$10.30May 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$29.52May 13, 01:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.54May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?$10.57May 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$1.52May 12, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludovic Ajorque lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?$29.40May 12, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $10.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".