Minor-Oregano
0x70fcf41f592c6f1ee8fc0fd45e9bf609fcc288c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
129
Open notional
$132.09
Total PnL
$-73.27
Realised
$-0.65
Win rate
41%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- NO
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
15 shares @ 27.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.58
$0.58
- YES
Canada recession before 2027?
28 shares @ 32.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.36
$-4.64
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.16
$1.16
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
7 shares @ 57.4¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-1.21
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.62
$0.62
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$2.55
$0.05
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.55
$0.04
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 63.1¢·now 79.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.53
$0.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.05May 18, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$2.05May 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00May 17, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$1.05May 17, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$1.02May 17, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$1.04May 17, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLAntónio Guterres out by December 31?$1.96May 17, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.43May 17, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$3.25May 17, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$0.70May 17, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.45May 17, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?$3.20May 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLVenezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$2.41May 17, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.95May 17, 02:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$2.58May 15, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.30May 15, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.13May 15, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 18:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".