Scarce-Footnote
0x714f682e577a6892ee921290fd6ad213d11266d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$3.2K
Realised
$474.20
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- NO
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
573 shares @ 14.9¢·now 60.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$343.62
$258.05
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
492 shares @ 24.2¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$319.52
$200.57
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
500 shares @ 22.2¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$292.72
$181.42
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
352 shares @ 27.8¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$288.75
$190.68
- NO
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?
309 shares @ 34.9¢·now 89.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$276.57
$168.58
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
427 shares @ 5.4¢·now 57.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$247.01
$224.03
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 23.8¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$240.00
$49.60
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
280 shares @ 17.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$236.42
$186.58
- NO
Chirayu Rana sued?
808 shares @ 17.8¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.13
$86.58
- NO
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?
340 shares @ 22.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$229.50
$152.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$154.51May 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$121.21May 17, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$365.56May 17, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$519.21May 17, 02:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.21May 16, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$2.80May 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$13.07May 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.48May 16, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$9.63May 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$4.58May 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$2.39May 16, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$23.49May 16, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$37.26May 16, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$6.82May 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$13.39May 16, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$8.48May 16, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$24.81May 16, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.00May 16, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $30.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".