Lonely-Pickax
0x720f7705ec8cc2b7ec8c1f189a689c6ba3bdd430
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$665.11
Total PnL
$-42.90
Realised
$-28.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$282.00
$10.00
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
161 shares @ 74.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$118.20
$-1.80
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 51.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.60
$18.80
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2230 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$36.80
$-50.24
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
29 shares @ 85.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.68
$-1.32
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.35
$2.35
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.10
$1.90
- YES
Trump kiss by May 31?
23 shares @ 57.3¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.20
$3.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$13.40May 20, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$747.69May 20, 09:31 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02May 20, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?$18.00May 19, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.43May 19, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$136.00May 19, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$130.56May 19, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMJesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.00May 19, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $23.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".