Hopeful-Container
0x727e819c79ac4eb555518cccdfd424d2d4cf8b9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$12.73
Realised
$35.45
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$470.25
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$279.75
$-470.25
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
95 shares @ 92.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$86.20
$-2.19
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
90 shares @ 90.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.56
$2.15
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
70 shares @ 96.1¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$65.34
$-1.90
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
75 shares @ 63.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$51.37
$3.97
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
40 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.82
$0.21
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
45 shares @ 78.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$37.57
$2.41
- YES
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
50 shares @ 64.4¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$36.99
$4.80
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
60 shares @ 60.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$35.70
$-0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$8.20May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week?$2.90May 18, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$20.00May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" this week?$5.70May 18, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.01May 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.04May 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.01May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.02May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.10May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.18May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.02May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" this week?$6.12May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.63May 18, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Xi" this week?$3.33May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Xi" this week?$8.00May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Xi" this week?$6.03May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Maduro" be said during 60 Minutes on Sunday?$5.57May 17, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Xi" this week?$0.13May 17, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jesus" or "Christ" this week?$9.72May 17, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".