Motionless-Bog
0x74c484eab743c2a7778f71cda007826c0fcaa983
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$105.37
Total PnL
$-215.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
30 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.45
$1.05
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.50
$6.50
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
30 shares @ 31.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$25.20
$15.90
- NO
Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.22
$-0.78
- NO
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.68
$-3.08
- YES
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
20 shares @ 28.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp May 25, 2026$3.88
$-1.72
- YES
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
30 shares @ 48.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.75
$-10.65
- YES
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
60 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.70
$-2.10
- YES
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22.5m?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 22.5m?
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$3.57May 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$8.90May 15, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$135.83May 14, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$16.99May 14, 10:24 UTC
- REWARD$2.75May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$6.00May 13, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?$9.75May 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$23.45May 13, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 13, 02:12 UTC
- REWARD$9.26May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$9.85May 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 12, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 12, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$55.11May 12, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$6.70May 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$6.61May 12, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$51.77May 12, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$194.18May 12, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$300.00May 12, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $34.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".