Capital-Parallelogram
0x75e5a1adec477458cb86ecb1ec827e3857d60059
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$207.39
Realised
$3.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
359 shares @ 61.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$332.39
$110.77
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$181.90
$-1.10
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
215 shares @ 64.6¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$164.16
$25.43
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
126 shares @ 75.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$113.90
$18.96
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
348 shares @ 28.2¢·now 31.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$109.29
$11.29
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
172 shares @ 55.9¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.26
$5.28
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
80 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$74.00
$8.40
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
101 shares @ 57.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.45
$5.06
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
94 shares @ 60.1¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.75
$0.42
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
72 shares @ 69.8¢·now 74.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.21
$3.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$67.98May 18, 17:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$21.93May 17, 14:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.36May 15, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$57.44May 15, 15:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.52May 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$51.44May 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.86May 13, 20:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28May 8, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 8, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 8, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $30.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".