Dishonest-Warming
0x7acd2773732fb8bf7cf0497635103e7272bcae09
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.7K
Total PnL
$1.9K
Realised
$530.96
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
4506 shares @ 73.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.8K
$458.90
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7555 shares @ 22.4¢·now 35.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.7K
$968.62
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
725 shares @ 81.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$620.29
$26.92
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
559 shares @ 83.1¢·now 86.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$480.49
$16.35
- NO
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.49
$7.50
- YES
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
86 shares @ 70.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$67.99
$7.71
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
255 shares @ 14.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$47.26
$10.52
- YES
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
143 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$15.05
$2.15
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2457 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-108.61
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.10May 17, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$3.72May 15, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$9.18May 15, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$48.15May 15, 13:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.09May 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.00May 13, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$17.12May 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.17May 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$57.84May 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00May 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.70May 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.39May 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.39May 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.10May 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.10May 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.10May 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00May 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00May 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00May 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.39May 13, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 20:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".