Calm-Plover
0x7cbca6904291affd3c6bfa157d5edbc900dc5196
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$39.26
Win rate
44%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
7027 shares @ 32.9¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.9K
$606.72
- YES
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1881 shares @ 13.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$291.50
$30.51
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1000 shares @ 5.7¢·now 24.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$241.54
$184.53
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1820 shares @ 17.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$227.44
$-97.21
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.00
$9.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 36.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$122.59
$-57.41
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1270 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$114.90
$-0.10
- YES
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
187 shares @ 71.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$113.14
$-20.87
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$111.00
$11.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.86
$-1.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$297.02May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$41.39May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$41.55May 18, 03:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)$76.19May 17, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)$31.34May 17, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)$28.57May 17, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)$19.61May 17, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$44.12May 17, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$44.78May 17, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.26May 15, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.51May 15, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$20.35May 15, 23:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Nicolas Dalby vs. Jeremiah Wells (Welterweight, Prelims)$9.80May 14, 06:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)$10.19May 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$30.36May 13, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $38.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".