Third-Chives
0x7dc45cbeedf6e2330e6b93c6588f16dcfdb7a38d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
168
Open notional
$7.9K
Total PnL
$471.89
Realised
$47.95
Win rate
68%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 168- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
400 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$397.80
$17.13
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
400 shares @ 74.7¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$385.00
$86.24
- NO
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
400 shares @ 89.6¢·now 96.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$384.40
$26.03
- YES
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
400 shares @ 80.9¢·now 81.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$324.00
$0.38
- NO
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
305 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$298.90
$7.01
- YES
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
281 shares @ 32.1¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$270.46
$180.30
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
400 shares @ 59.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$270.00
$34.00
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
400 shares @ 47.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$250.00
$62.00
- NO
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
246 shares @ 91.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$240.34
$14.74
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
400 shares @ 27.6¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$230.00
$119.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$2.15May 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$4.30May 18, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$42.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$4.97May 18, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$1.72May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$196.99May 18, 03:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$1.34May 18, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$30.00May 18, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Espanyol be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$4.44May 17, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$17.66May 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$18.36May 17, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$3.74May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?$4.76May 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shelly deZevallos be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?$1.80May 17, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$64.93May 17, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$16.35May 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$3.67May 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$5.19May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$5.70May 17, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $22.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".