Evergreen-Spray

• NO

  US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

  56 shares @ 54.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $40.83

  $10.83

• YES

  Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

  49 shares @ 81.6¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $40.20

  $0.20

• YES

  Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

  45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026

  $26.59

  $-3.41

• NO

  Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

  14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $9.79

  $-0.21

• NO

  Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?

  11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $8.42

  $3.42

• NO

  Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

  6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $5.27

  $0.27

• NO

  NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

  6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $4.97

  $-0.03

• NO

  Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

  7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $4.43

  $-0.57

• NO

  Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

  6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $2.63

  $-2.37

• YES

  Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

  71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $2.21

  $-2.79

• TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$9.86May 4, 18:56 UTC
• TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 4, 18:53 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$15.00May 3, 11:15 UTC
• TRADESELLAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$8.35May 2, 21:59 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$40.29May 2, 21:58 UTC
• TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 2, 21:55 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$15.00May 2, 21:52 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$7.91May 2, 21:32 UTC
• TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$30.83May 1, 22:19 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.03May 1, 22:18 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00May 1, 22:13 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$5.00May 1, 22:13 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.19May 1, 22:09 UTC
• TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.00May 1, 19:25 UTC
• TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$10.00Apr 29, 22:19 UTC
• REDEEMChatGPT Outage by May 1?$0.00Apr 29, 22:14 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.00Apr 27, 17:22 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$22.83Apr 27, 17:05 UTC
• TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$6.50Apr 26, 02:14 UTC
• TRADEBUYChatGPT Outage by May 1?$6.20Apr 25, 23:36 UTC

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