Acceptable-Pocketwatch
0x8072e357dcfed151a7804026b70a4364dd9a0ef3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$19.5K
Total PnL
$-8.9K
Realised
$26.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
22931 shares @ 58.9¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.5K
$-7.0K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
5851 shares @ 85.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.6K
$572.96
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
4748 shares @ 84.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.2K
$249.38
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
3245 shares @ 67.8¢·now 41.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-848.41
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
3226 shares @ 31.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.0K
$48.39
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
7246 shares @ 11.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$471.01
$-378.98
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1137 shares @ 17.6¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$267.84
$67.84
- YES
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
674 shares @ 5.9¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.95
$-15.05
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Pistons
6875 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-210.84
- YES
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
6764 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-149.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.0KMay 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$500.00May 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 10, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$200.00May 9, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$101.50May 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$250.00May 9, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$500.00May 9, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$50.87May 6, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$101.80May 6, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$500.00May 6, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$500.00May 6, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$1.03May 6, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$5.15May 6, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$20.56May 6, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$51.29May 5, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$51.17May 5, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$102.16May 5, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTimberwolves vs. Spurs$213.02May 5, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$102.25May 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLTimberwolves vs. Spurs$181.02May 5, 03:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $140.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".