Thoughtful-Proportion
0x81924e30a4fe9e1eb715ade61296be6fa74c0664
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$43.45
Total PnL
$-34.22
Realised
$-1.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
1018 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.67
$1.77
- YES
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
21 shares @ 30.3¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$6.87
$0.37
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
421 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.89
$-2.10
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
138 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.11
$0.21
- YES
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
5730 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$2.87
$-2.87
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
5320 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.66
$-2.66
- YES
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
14 shares @ 12.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.59
$0.95
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
208 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.40
$-0.10
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
3100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$-2.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.38May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.12May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.03May 18, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$9.80May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.17May 18, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.00May 18, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$0.00May 18, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$0.00May 18, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$0.00May 18, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?$0.00May 18, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$0.00May 18, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$0.00May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.07May 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.04May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.05May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.04May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$3.43May 18, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.58May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$6.68May 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$0.49May 18, 03:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".