Repulsive-Left
0x8217b6c8878a4aa4ecc023608dbf91d4fac64936
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-15.1K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
54%
91 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
414 shares @ 77.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$395.72
$76.78
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
440 shares @ 42.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$257.22
$72.11
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
300 shares @ 64.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$247.56
$54.94
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
226 shares @ 76.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$215.16
$41.13
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
269 shares @ 78.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$208.78
$-2.37
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
272 shares @ 34.6¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.51
$96.58
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
206 shares @ 85.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.84
$10.70
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
290 shares @ 5.2¢·now 64.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.03
$170.94
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
206 shares @ 17.3¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$176.76
$141.26
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
829 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$138.00
$-11.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.49May 18, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$49.08May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$31.91May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$279.75May 18, 05:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 17, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.86May 17, 02:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$25.29May 16, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$21.89May 16, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$22.18May 16, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$26.62May 16, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$29.80May 16, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$40.71May 16, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$85.16May 16, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$107.83May 16, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$118.65May 16, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$122.36May 16, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies$249.13May 16, 02:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $19.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 91 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".