Muddy-Hobby
0x8295ef08ba0143f566d4477be1d188095bbff68b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$157.62
Total PnL
$-411.82
Realised
$-3.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.72
$9.72
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.80
$7.80
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
227 shares @ 8.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.57
$0.57
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 80.2¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
385 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.61
$-6.39
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
55 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.34
$0.79
- YES
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
312 shares @ 4.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.67
$-8.33
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.64
$0.46
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Pistons
194 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-44.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$0.42May 18, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$19.02May 18, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.14May 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$0.22May 18, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$4.18May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$9.21May 18, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$16.53May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$7.29May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$14.79May 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$14.79May 18, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$14.47May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$14.63May 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$14.47May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$14.30May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$14.63May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$14.63May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$13.98May 18, 01:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.02May 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$3.26May 17, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".