Bumpy-Sculptural
0x83e0957834bb9da9fdea01db8d5b8f064d5392e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$428.99
Total PnL
$5.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
108 shares @ 92.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.52
$-6.48
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
123 shares @ 48.6¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$65.37
$5.37
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 71.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.01
$4.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
30 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?
31 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$29.60
$-0.40
- NO
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
20 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$20.14
$0.14
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$20.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$20.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.75
$1.84
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00May 18, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$0.00May 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$10.02May 18, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$10.07May 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$10.00May 18, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?$10.00May 18, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$20.13May 18, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$30.00May 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00May 18, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$10.20May 18, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$13.85May 18, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$10.01May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.08May 17, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$20.02May 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$20.00May 17, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$15.79May 17, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$78.12May 17, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$10.07May 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$10.01May 16, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$10.06May 16, 12:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $17.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".