Powerless-Kilt
0x844ac1aee4dc203080e63e650e043a8ad8145f53
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$63.37
Realised
$20.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
556 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$550.56
$33.57
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
428 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$418.80
$-0.21
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?
212 shares @ 87.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$206.70
$20.26
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?
200 shares @ 94.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$185.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
213 shares @ 77.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.28
$1.32
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?
105 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 23, 2026$102.22
$-1.73
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$92.24
$1.25
- NO
Will gemini-3-pro have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?
43 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$42.65
$-0.03
- NO
Will qwen3.5-max-preview have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 23, 2026$24.09
$-0.66
- NO
Will muse-spark have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?
24 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 23, 2026$23.39
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?$94.00May 19, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?$71.25May 19, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?$19.00May 19, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$419.36May 19, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?$4.76May 19, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?$103.99May 19, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill qwen3.5-max-preview have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?$24.76May 19, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill muse-spark have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?$23.37May 19, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gemini-3-pro have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?$42.70May 19, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$518.45May 19, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$4.23May 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.98May 17, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.05May 17, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.00May 17, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.06May 17, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.40May 17, 01:21 UTC
- REWARD$1.08May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$14.00May 16, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$167.43May 16, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?$187.34May 16, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $95.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 08:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".