Shady-Thunderbolt
0x85bd6a676a1b399f849b22332b1f7eca15c87f75
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-533.68
Realised
$-21.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
773 shares @ 75.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$575.95
$-5.63
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
687 shares @ 65.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$443.18
$-8.15
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
909 shares @ 39.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$404.47
$50.38
- YES
Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?
74 shares @ 62.5¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.08
$-11.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?
239 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-88.51
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 13?
176 shares @ 77.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-135.75
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
142 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 4?
134 shares @ 64.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-86.33
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
118 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on May 5?
83 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 17?$68.46May 18, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?$270.10May 17, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 17?$158.76May 17, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 18?$16.27May 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 18?$16.21May 17, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 18?$100.10May 17, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 18?$58.22May 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?$4.82May 17, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 16?$28.04May 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$39.59May 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$51.67May 17, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 16?$105.35May 17, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?$933.83May 17, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?$80.49May 17, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?$50.44May 17, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 17?$150.41May 17, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?$94.83May 17, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 16?$6.0KMay 17, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?$115.54May 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?$151.43May 16, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $210.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".