Opulent-Disarmament
0x8ace6b1016214876667444d2b3055065da996069
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$6.7K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-161.37
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- AVENGERS: DOOMSDAY
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
3608 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 20, 2026$3.4K
$4.11
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
3415 shares @ 51.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$235.49
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
19632 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.8¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$932.50
$119.67
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
160 shares @ 62.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.91
$2.90
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$87.04
$-12.96
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
194 shares @ 41.1¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$49.58
$-30.42
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
286 shares @ 15.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.43
$-3.57
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
49 shares @ 77.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.06
$-4.93
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.94
$6.94
- NO
Will Carolina Royal Ravens finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?
47 shares @ 95.0¢·now 50.3¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$23.83
$-21.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$45.48May 18, 05:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.79May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO7) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$4.41May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO7) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$245.59May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO7) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$302.00May 17, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO7) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$19.18May 17, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO7) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$3.81May 17, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$161.22May 17, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$504.48May 17, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$11.12May 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$20.20May 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$10.15May 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$10.11May 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$30.26May 17, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$8.05May 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$10.05May 17, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$20.17May 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$20.16May 17, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$30.23May 17, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs$100.75May 17, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $72.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".