Round-Theology
0x8af7de42f4d666793a130ed5c063e06143df7f20
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$142.55
Total PnL
$-146.99
Realised
$6.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.20
$-8.80
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.61
$0.61
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
39 shares @ 51.1¢·now 51.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.81
$-0.19
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 21?
48 shares @ 10.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$6.05
$1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 21?
352 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 21?
23 shares @ 21.5¢·now 19.7¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 21?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 21?
68 shares @ 7.4¢·now 4.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.11
$-1.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 21?$5.25May 20, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 21?$10.49May 20, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 21?$5.22May 20, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 21?$5.23May 20, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 21?$5.23May 20, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 21?$5.20May 20, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 21?$5.25May 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.22May 19, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.17May 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.22May 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$13.54May 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.21May 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.22May 19, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.20May 19, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10.30May 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.18May 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.39May 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.39May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 19?$5.19May 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 19?$10.32May 17, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".