Diligent-Shawl
0x8caccf91ac3fc0bf888eb294e6105f86ad8bab70
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$183.44
Total PnL
$1.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
30 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 25, 2026$30.25
$0.08
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open below $7,300 on May 26, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$29.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Marcus Armstrong win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?
25 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$24.64
$0.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 26?
24 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$24.22
$0.21
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 25?
25 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 26, 2026$24.11
$0.19
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?
24 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 28, 2026$23.78
$0.08
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 25?
20 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 25, 2026$20.07
$0.09
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
7 shares @ 91.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 24, 2026$6.38
$0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$30.18May 25, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?$30.15May 25, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 25?$23.98May 25, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 25?$19.98May 25, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 May 18-24?$5.62May 25, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Epstein" this week?$24.36May 25, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mamdani" this week?$24.29May 25, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 24?$24.41May 25, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?$1.04May 25, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?$4.92May 25, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?$4.92May 25, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?$4.92May 25, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?$4.92May 25, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?$2.96May 25, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mamdani" this week?$19.05May 25, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 26?$24.01May 25, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?$1.16May 25, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill ADK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$24.40May 25, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Elon" or "Musk" in Maine?$12.83May 25, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 May 18-24?$0.60May 25, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $12.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".