Male-Estuary
0x8cc1262cf53b83047926e09af8e5ab3bf537b9f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
134
Open notional
$111.58
Total PnL
$-868.95
Realised
$5.38
Win rate
44%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 134- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?
350 shares @ 7.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$26.25
$1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 22?
200 shares @ 9.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$23.00
$4.60
- YES
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
116 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$20.30
$4.06
- YES
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
116 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$15.12
$-1.16
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?
81 shares @ 2.8¢·now 9.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.05
$5.77
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?
1173 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.45
$-11.94
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?
913 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.02
$-6.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 23?
471 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.36
$0.94
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 180-190mm of precipitation in May?
959 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.44
$-24.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?
16 shares @ 5.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.22
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?$1.09May 22, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 22?$7.50May 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?$1.06May 22, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?$0.33May 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?$0.17May 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?$0.10May 22, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?$0.31May 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?$0.68May 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?$0.31May 22, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 22?$0.38May 22, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?$0.34May 22, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have between 200-210mm of precipitation in May?$0.29May 22, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have between 180-190mm of precipitation in May?$0.09May 22, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$1.01May 22, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?$0.12May 22, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?$0.24May 22, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 23?$0.09May 22, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22?$2.60May 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 22?$0.39May 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?$7.36May 22, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".