Weary-Exaggeration
0x8d2450fb000b903dc652abca70b1ae508a6ea2e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-361.79
Win rate
54%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- UNDER
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5
1065 shares @ 80.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$836.02
$-15.97
- NO
Will 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
557 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$557.00
$66.84
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
350 shares @ 78.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$350.00
$73.85
- HERSHEY BEARS
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Hershey Bears
226 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$226.00
$40.68
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
183 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$182.91
$0.09
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
384 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.40
$-23.04
- YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$6.25
$-7.75
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.44
$-0.96
- NO
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.03
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2 shares @ 1.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.19
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$61.44Apr 23, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$490.16Apr 23, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$199.52Apr 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$182.35Apr 11, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$356.95Apr 11, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$268.92Apr 11, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$19.92Apr 11, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$258.96Apr 11, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$209.84Apr 10, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$213.61Apr 10, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$120.31Apr 9, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$296.80Apr 9, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$6.08Apr 9, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$52.44Apr 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$56.62Apr 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$52.06Apr 7, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$527.72Apr 7, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$190.26Mar 31, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?$397.80Mar 30, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$100.17Mar 30, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $197.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".