Staid-Rain
0x8d4ca917d7d56b2bee637b847ae33d50426d34a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$663.73
Total PnL
$34.03
Realised
$5.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
162 shares @ 70.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$148.68
$33.68
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
128 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$120.64
$0.64
- YES
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?
101 shares @ 78.3¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.66
$-2.34
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
91 shares @ 49.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$63.11
$18.11
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?
68 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$56.76
$6.76
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
52 shares @ 76.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$41.07
$1.07
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 20?
63 shares @ 64.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$37.19
$-2.81
- YES
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?
73 shares @ 54.5¢·now 46.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.78
$-6.22
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
33 shares @ 68.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.52
$1.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
32 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.47
$0.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$120.29May 20, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 20?$42.18May 19, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?$52.52May 19, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?$41.92May 19, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?$20.40May 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 19?$37.71May 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 19?$89.88May 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?$108.97May 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 19?$10.39May 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?$10.21May 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 19?$35.15May 19, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 19?$60.60May 19, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?$100.48May 19, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$205.87May 19, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$10.62May 18, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$21.22May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLJames Harden: Points O/U 18.5$21.54May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?$4.97May 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$22.78May 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$23.00May 17, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $49.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 04:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".