Vigilant-Emotion
0x8d709d24cd798ca8e1ce675a8ae6fdf2a6abcc5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$184.49
Total PnL
$-562.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 20?
172 shares @ 90.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$157.21
$1.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 20?
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$12.38
$-2.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 20?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 20, 2026$9.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 20?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 20?
5 shares @ 18.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.20
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 20?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.18
$-0.82
- CANADA
Men's Final - Canada vs. USA
676 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-365.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 1?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 12?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?
116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 20?$53.74May 20, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 20?$27.29May 20, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 20?$5.26May 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 20?$4.74May 20, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 20?$40.18May 20, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 20?$25.12May 20, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 20?$3.09May 20, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 20?$0.94May 20, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 20?$15.30May 20, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 20?$2.09May 20, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 20?$10.01May 20, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.09May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.06May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.03May 18, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 17?$0.00May 18, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 17?$21.89May 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$15.03May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$10.06May 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 17?$15.02May 17, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 16?$20.97May 17, 06:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $11.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".