Constant-Passbook
0x8daf2074d1bd70628f11513fb72c515a0869ef60
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-252.49
Realised
$-6.00
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1101 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$-0.55
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
902 shares @ 92.4¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$842.02
$8.29
- NO
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$794.80
$-1.20
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$794.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
750 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$744.38
$-0.38
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: Other
600 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$594.91
$-0.90
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
579 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$489.61
$14.49
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
255 shares @ 5.9¢·now 13.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.05
$20.01
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$14.90
$1.50
- NO
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?
39 shares @ 9.7¢·now 34.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.44
$9.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$18.91May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$23.50May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$6.00May 18, 01:16 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.06May 18, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$4.36May 17, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.10May 17, 19:43 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.63May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.61May 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$6.22May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$3.57May 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.69May 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1.68May 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$82.14May 16, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$57.15May 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$346.85May 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$0.85May 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$64.00May 16, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$355.00May 16, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $152.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".