0x8e4bc3b8c8032aee28783e35d24a05292c7decd3
0x8e4bc3b8c8032aee28783e35d24a05292c7decd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$247.42
Total PnL
$-23.50
Realised
$-1.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
439 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
610 shares @ 8.2¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
275 shares @ 18.2¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1429 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?
1761 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.03
$-8.76
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?
183 shares @ 9.3¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.04
$-11.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET$11.52May 19, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET$49.48May 19, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET$10.55May 19, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$91.11May 19, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$49.29May 19, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$49.52May 19, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$42.27May 19, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.48May 19, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.58May 19, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.70May 19, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.63May 19, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET$30.98May 19, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?$17.70May 19, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$297.31May 19, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$109.06May 19, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00May 19, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$55.22May 19, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?$55.10May 18, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Apr 21, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $27.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".