Regular-Mathematics
0x8e4e228614bb57a07308b6bea46cd572234ef6d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$18.2K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
9000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$8.8K
$310.50
- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
3000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$264.00
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$28.50
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3150 shares @ 75.8¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.9K
$-513.75
- NO
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
1350 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$34.42
- NO
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
469 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$451.24
$23.16
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
1200 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-851.96
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-546.00
- NO
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-244.00
- NO
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$7.99May 3, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$8.5KMay 2, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$2.3KMay 2, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$6.9KMay 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.0KMay 1, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$2.3KApr 30, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$3.0KApr 30, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$696.58Apr 4, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$64.07Apr 4, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$44.53Apr 4, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$38.13Apr 4, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$2.60Apr 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$3.26Apr 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$2.60Apr 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$3.26Apr 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$2.60Apr 4, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$3.26Apr 4, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$38.72Apr 4, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$48.40Apr 4, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$2.60Apr 4, 19:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $401.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 18:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".