Acceptable-Arrival
0x938e4cb1ee24d52a064e976563b15cd2fb42d242
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$792.82
Total PnL
$40.43
Realised
$-18.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
428 shares @ 84.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$380.92
$19.41
- NO
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
196 shares @ 94.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$188.50
$2.07
- NO
Major US official out by May 31?
209 shares @ 65.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$174.73
$37.01
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?
50 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$48.67
$0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the NYT front page headlines say "War" this week?$945.74May 18, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front page headlines say "China" this week?$492.81May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$18.14May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$14.71May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front page headlines say "War" this week?$454.98May 18, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$192.75May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$20.90May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$4.00May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$16.85May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$1.71May 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$48.70May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front page headlines say "China" this week?$9.90May 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front page headlines say "China" this week?$465.87May 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front page headlines say "War" this week?$473.29May 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.5KMay 18, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$195.97May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$109.33May 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$140.38May 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$570.11May 18, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$936.64May 18, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $222.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".