Adolescent-Trousers
0x95bf944dd22691364154fb436ee922798566e00b
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$298.8K
Total PnL
$19.1K
Realised
$3.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
97777 shares @ 83.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$93.4K
$11.9K
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
60000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$48.8K
$18.8K
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
34245 shares @ 91.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.8K
$2.6K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
26710 shares @ 93.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.2K
$242.07
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
19027 shares @ 93.1¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.1K
$386.58
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
23252 shares @ 79.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.0K
$-449.17
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
16129 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.6K
$620.97
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
60000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.2K
$-18.8K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
11056 shares @ 91.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.8K
$646.14
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
13794 shares @ 72.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.4K
$-551.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.0KMay 18, 06:09 UTC
- YIELD$8.58May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?$23.55May 17, 15:41 UTC
- YIELD$8.58May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$8.58May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$16.6KMay 15, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?$1.2KMay 15, 03:54 UTC
- YIELD$5.84May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.85May 15, 00:00 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$60.0KMay 14, 09:22 UTC
- YIELD$2.02May 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$31.9KMay 14, 00:08 UTC
- REWARD$2.84May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$10.23May 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$463.47May 13, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$17.03May 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$209.71May 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$270.79May 13, 15:43 UTC
- YIELD$2.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$4.72May 13, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $326.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".