0x99bce72fb855cc8eebe6c85683ede46da1784f35
0x99bce72fb855cc8eebe6c85683ede46da1784f35
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$203.42
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
84%
90 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- RAPHAEL COLLIGNON
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrov
257 shares @ 31.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$257.00
$176.98
- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
279 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$133.68
$0.01
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
374 shares @ 17.7¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$120.01
$53.73
- CILIC
Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)
104 shares @ 24.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$104.00
$78.44
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
234 shares @ 25.7¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$99.30
$39.29
- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
308 shares @ 39.4¢·now 27.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$83.37
$-37.81
- NO
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
292 shares @ 53.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$77.40
$-77.39
- YES
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
340 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$68.01
$-6.80
- NO
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
62 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$62.24
$28.01
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
74 shares @ 22.0¢·now 76.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$57.02
$40.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$5.80May 18, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$102.00May 18, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$29.09May 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?$1.53May 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$0.98May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$0.88May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$0.41May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.50May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.50May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.50May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.50May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.65May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.50May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00May 18, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 90 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".