Fragrant-Examination
0x9a5aed2caacfdc5dd4af5553adaa8b7d08a5779c
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$50.30
Win rate
63%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
988 shares @ 74.5¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$640.00
$-95.80
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
524 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$523.74
$0.26
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
61 shares @ 97.4¢·now 48.7¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$29.71
$-29.71
- YES
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
31 shares @ 55.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.24
$-4.82
- NO
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
9 shares @ 90.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.47
$-0.63
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.20
$-7.20
- NO
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.10
$-0.30
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.58
$0.66
- YES
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 63.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.99
$-13.39
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.00
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?$34.24Apr 12, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$325.92Apr 11, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$352.59Apr 11, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?$444.57Apr 10, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$387.40Apr 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$348.40Apr 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$378.30Apr 10, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$185.90Apr 9, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$367.72Apr 9, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Witch" this week? (April 12)$200.64Apr 9, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Witch" this week? (April 12)$585.20Apr 9, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Witch" this week? (April 12)$14.96Apr 9, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$204.16Apr 9, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$194.48Apr 8, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$329.68Apr 8, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Oman again in March?$0.25Apr 8, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMEx-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?$0.42Apr 8, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$0.62Apr 8, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Apr 8, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals$226.00Apr 8, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $329.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".