Smug-Respite
0x9cd53fa3922044eaac7e3ca3f95de42ae1ccc868
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$13.81
Total PnL
$-3.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 10.5¢·now 14.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.34
$0.34
- NO
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
1 shares @ 90.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.01May 17, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.18May 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.00May 16, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.01May 14, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1.03May 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 14, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.02May 14, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.04May 13, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00May 9, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?$1.00May 6, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$1.01May 6, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04May 5, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$1.03May 5, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$1.01May 4, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00May 4, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$2.44May 4, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.02May 3, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?$1.01May 3, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$1.01May 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.02May 3, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".