Fortunate-Document
0xa17325d33b095b6bb48d475a3578fecbdff73315
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$75.8K
Total PnL
$-24.7K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
83%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
12616 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.4K
$206.11
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
10706 shares @ 90.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.9K
$219.48
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
11900 shares @ 64.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.1K
$-535.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4375 shares @ 70.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.2K
$1.1K
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.0K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
4000 shares @ 85.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$474.80
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
3333 shares @ 88.1¢·now 91.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$119.32
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3800 shares @ 71.4¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$-70.83
- NO
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
3903 shares @ 74.1¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.6K
$-295.32
- NO
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
4910 shares @ 56.9¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.4K
$-411.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$35.28May 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$208.83May 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$20.43May 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$10.14May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$7.71May 17, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$7.71May 17, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$7.71May 17, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$12.86May 17, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$24.48May 17, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.53May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$50.00May 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$6.16May 16, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$5.14May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1.60May 16, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$5.14May 16, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$4.86May 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$11.31May 16, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$5.14May 16, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$5.7KMay 16, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $244.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".