Queasy-Cougar
0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$186.3K
Total PnL
$134.32
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
68%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
180000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$135.3K
$45.3K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
180000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.7K
$-45.3K
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
2338 shares @ 89.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.3K
$189.14
- NO
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
1101 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$62.67
- NO
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
653 shares @ 88.3¢·now 91.7¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$598.75
$22.46
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 57.6¢·now 73.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$365.50
$77.30
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
341 shares @ 92.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$333.30
$17.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
300 shares @ 76.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$265.50
$37.50
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
500 shares @ 36.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$255.00
$70.80
- NO
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
127 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$126.21
$0.84
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$18.61May 18, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$18.62May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$12.77May 17, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.94May 17, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$28.84May 17, 22:24 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$36.40May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$316.61May 17, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$258.53May 17, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$285.67May 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.24May 17, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$0.15May 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$0.25May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$0.75May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$14.96May 17, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$2.22May 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$23.98May 17, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.43May 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.30May 17, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.10May 17, 11:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $21.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".