Pastel-Appointment
0xa58b3083d7d296221bf96f7565914f3121e6ef84
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
144
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$11.20
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$195.50
$27.50
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
200 shares @ 43.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.70
$108.70
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$191.00
$43.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
200 shares @ 59.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$165.00
$47.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 77.1¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$150.28
$-3.92
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$125.00
$101.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 34.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$117.00
$49.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
460 shares @ 9.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$108.33
$63.37
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
200 shares @ 80.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.00
$-62.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.50
$7.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$200.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey mugshot released by May 5?$40.00May 17, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$50.00May 17, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry$50.00May 17, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$50.00May 17, 03:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$40.00May 16, 07:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$200.00May 9, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$199.99May 9, 17:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 9, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$100.00May 8, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?$9.60May 8, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $19.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".