Thorny-Oversight
0xa62abc8cb1fb4dc98ff0bd11b1cd89854e3aa8ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$10.3K
Total PnL
$-568.13
Realised
$-121.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
8448 shares @ 87.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.8K
$-585.50
- NO
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
1569 shares @ 43.1¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$596.22
$-80.15
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
353 shares @ 59.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$298.28
$87.32
- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
310 shares @ 89.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$285.20
$8.20
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
249 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$232.82
$11.30
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
232 shares @ 86.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$216.92
$16.02
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
268 shares @ 82.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$210.38
$-10.64
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
237 shares @ 85.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.38
$4.76
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
240 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.20
$3.60
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.77
$59.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$7.17May 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$3.93May 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$3.87May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$7.90May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.00May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.10May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.20May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.30May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.40May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.50May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.60May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$204.10May 18, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.10May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.20May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.30May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.40May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.50May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$8.60May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$53.89May 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$51.61May 18, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".