Discrete-Mean
0xa652efcd4c7e4119f578032b056136b3f29a6f8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$75.05
Total PnL
$-13.4K
Realised
$119.36
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
71 shares @ 0.7¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.64
$17.12
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75 shares @ 1.6¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.56
$11.35
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 1.7¢·now 17.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.51
$8.63
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75 shares @ 1.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.64
$5.42
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 1.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.96
$5.08
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 1.7¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.74
$3.86
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 1.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.43
$3.54
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
71 shares @ 0.7¢·now 6.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.37
$3.84
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
280 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.82
$-2.39
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
280 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.54
$-2.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?$0.01May 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 60-79 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$0.01May 22, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 23?$0.01May 22, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on May 23?$0.01May 22, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on May 22?$0.01May 22, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 24?$0.01May 22, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 24?$0.01May 22, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 24?$0.01May 22, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 24?$0.01May 22, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?$0.01May 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 22?$0.01May 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Tsaghkadzor: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Sophia Ksandinov$0.01May 22, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 21?$0.01May 22, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 22?$0.00May 22, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on May 22?$0.01May 22, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 22?$0.01May 22, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 23?$0.01May 22, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 23?$0.01May 22, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on May 23?$0.01May 22, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 22?$0.00May 22, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 04:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".