Excitable-Hat
0xa910a1a5ed49f50e2ed6ac7ae88ffd6571931ece
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$562.45
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?
204 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$204.00
$4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 20?
158 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$156.78
$0.78
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$100.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 19?
103 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 20, 2026$100.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.45
$-49.55
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
102 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.36
$-99.64
- NO
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?
1145 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?
831 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-462.25
- ROMAN SAFIULLIN
Oeiras 4: Roman Safiullin vs Laslo Djere
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
148 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 20?$56.04May 19, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 20?$100.08May 19, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?$100.08May 19, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 19?$100.21May 19, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?$100.21May 19, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$102.82May 19, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$103.52May 19, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$201.21May 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$100.04May 19, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$100.19May 19, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$100.04May 19, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$100.24May 19, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?$101.21May 19, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 18?$101.11May 19, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?$204.43May 19, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 18?$100.08May 18, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?$100.91May 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?$100.11May 18, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?$100.08May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?$100.19May 18, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $92.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 19:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".