Jaded-Windchime
0xad287cbd7db82d684a5066515c7ee624df111601
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.5K
Total PnL
$-27.6K
Realised
$-3.5K
Win rate
63%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
7178 shares @ 60.8¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.3K
$-92.16
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2800 shares @ 38.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.8K
$707.48
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?
1791 shares @ 76.6¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$59.97
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
995 shares @ 39.9¢·now 59.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$587.14
$190.04
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
600 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$573.00
$27.00
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1800 shares @ 1.5¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$567.90
$540.29
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1522 shares @ 17.7¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$555.42
$285.62
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
600 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$543.00
$39.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5661 shares @ 4.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$484.00
$233.72
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
509 shares @ 79.8¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$404.54
$-1.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.34May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$3.93May 17, 19:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?$9.17May 16, 05:30 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.14May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?$128.59May 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$13.98May 15, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?$15.40May 15, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$67.03May 15, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$276.00May 15, 01:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.31May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.30May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$21.10May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$1.38May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$54.96May 13, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?$10.01May 13, 02:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.30May 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$35.98May 12, 18:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.30May 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $68.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".