Adorable-Jail
0xae671ffd7421c2fc2b4ad6eb21dedfec3ad57cc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-736.98
Realised
$31.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
1000 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$961.01
$5.00
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$780.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
750 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$693.75
$11.25
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 81.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$507.50
$-63.50
- NO
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
325 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 25, 2026$324.83
$1.85
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$290.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
257 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$147.85
$-3.86
- YES
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$99.65
$9.65
- YES
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
98 shares @ 72.6¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$67.73
$-3.57
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?
200 shares @ 75.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.90
$-149.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$249.99May 20, 04:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$146.00May 20, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.83May 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$46.08May 19, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$104.67May 19, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$99.90May 19, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$684.96May 19, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton drop out?$323.08May 19, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$2.79May 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$85.13May 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$9.98May 19, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$18.34May 19, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$6.67May 19, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$69.48May 19, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.52May 19, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$18.00May 19, 04:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$120.49May 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.06May 18, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $130.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".