0xaed4a06aa7b2d9d7b94f89d693459153e37709af
0xaed4a06aa7b2d9d7b94f89d693459153e37709af
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$296.29
Total PnL
$-96.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?
552 shares @ 0.9¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$59.84
$54.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
445 shares @ 0.7¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$50.72
$47.67
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
233 shares @ 3.7¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$32.76
$24.13
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
562 shares @ 14.3¢·now 3.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.98
$-62.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 5.6¢·exp May 18, 2026$14.00
$9.00
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
220 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.47
$-0.55
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.79
$-0.23
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
244 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.38
$-0.24
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.38
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.11May 18, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.00May 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 18?$0.29May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.68May 18, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 18?$0.07May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 18?$5.35May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$4.46May 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.64May 18, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 17?$0.00May 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?$0.00May 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 18, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$5.00May 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?$5.00May 18, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$619.74May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$2.53May 18, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.44May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$2.03May 18, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Patrick Cantlay finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$0.79May 18, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".