Which-Draft
0xb0aab5bc4b07b1e3cf8ac2d34ab690aba0b9851c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$897.82
Total PnL
$-132.00
Realised
$2.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?
475 shares @ 91.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$415.58
$-19.42
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
170 shares @ 88.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$150.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
2143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$117.86
$-32.14
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
127 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$98.10
$-1.90
- YES
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
95 shares @ 31.6¢·now 63.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$60.00
$30.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$41.32
$-8.68
- NO
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.93
$-4.07
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- NO
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
38 shares @ 13.3¢·now 10.7¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.02
$-0.98
- NO
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
15 shares @ 65.4¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-9.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$51.20May 5, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$10.10May 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?$10.09May 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$150.52May 5, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$5.13May 5, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?$5.11May 5, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.12May 5, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$30.62May 5, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$313.59May 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$312.00Apr 30, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$400.97Apr 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$100.84Apr 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$155.58Apr 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$35.13Apr 30, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$52.58Apr 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$33.72Mar 2, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$15.40Feb 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$12.17Feb 5, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$45.37Feb 5, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner$17.60Jan 30, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $53.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".