0xb146adbda69fae13388b7cfddfb611b37b7bc098
0xb146adbda69fae13388b7cfddfb611b37b7bc098
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-170.66
Realised
$356.02
Win rate
79%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
125 shares @ 87.4¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.65
$-0.56
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
126 shares @ 79.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$97.35
$-2.66
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
127 shares @ 78.5¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$95.66
$-4.34
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$90.52
$-9.48
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
85 shares @ 79.4¢·now 95.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$81.16
$13.77
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
121 shares @ 68.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$72.22
$-11.01
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
87 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$68.07
$0.43
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
73 shares @ 82.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.87
$3.47
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
255 shares @ 27.7¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$61.99
$-8.42
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
69 shares @ 85.9¢·now 86.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$59.47
$0.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin not meet?$18.81May 16, 22:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLPep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?$17.71May 15, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales arrested by May 31$13.59May 15, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.79May 15, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.62May 15, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.70May 15, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.50May 15, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$4.22May 15, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$10.81May 14, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$24.18May 14, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$33.15May 14, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.24May 14, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$6.72May 14, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.74May 14, 08:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?$11.05May 13, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $14.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".