Muddy-Pollutant
0xb2118e46c69d28b0bc30b664436a0db3819f10b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$65.15
Total PnL
$-108.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 20?
33 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$32.87
$3.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?
28 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$28.00
$3.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 20?
66 shares @ 89.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$4.28
$-54.27
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
103 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.89
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
20 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.93
- YES
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
16 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 20?$5.00May 20, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 20?$58.87May 20, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 20?$29.82May 20, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 20?$4.57May 20, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 20?$92.99May 20, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$25.06May 19, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 20?$85.90May 19, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$13.28May 19, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$11.77May 19, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$10.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$8.21May 17, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.00May 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$33.79May 14, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$50.00May 14, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$19.00May 13, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?$0.00May 13, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 13?$50.19May 13, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 13?$50.53May 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.83May 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.67May 13, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $28.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".