Thorny-Carpeting
0xb3b2766c9a10a72368ebee459d6d5c5c0bf5da22
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$101.66
Total PnL
$174.81
Realised
$198.95
Win rate
60%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.72
$0.12
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
12 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.24
$0.00
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
11 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.00
$-0.05
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 70.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.86
$-0.54
- YES
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
16 shares @ 60.4¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.73
$-1.99
- NO
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
12 shares @ 47.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.34
$-0.30
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
14 shares @ 35.3¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.62
$-0.32
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
7 shares @ 56.3¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.09
$0.15
- NO
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 30?
12 shares @ 24.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.96
$1.08
- YES
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
12 shares @ 27.8¢·now 32.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.88
$0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$2.80May 25, 10:29 UTC
- MERGEIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$10.01May 25, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$2.05May 25, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$2.05May 25, 10:25 UTC
- MERGEAliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$6.67May 25, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$2.05May 25, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$5.99May 25, 10:18 UTC
- MERGEWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$2.95May 25, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$3.00May 25, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLCritical Discord Incident by May 31?$2.45May 25, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$13.14May 25, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$2.70May 25, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$9.24May 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$4.22May 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?$0.34May 25, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?$3.60May 25, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$2.88May 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$6.96May 25, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?$0.36May 25, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$15.84May 25, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".